TrendAviv Model-based market estimates for Israeli markets
TrendAviv publishes the outputs of a proprietary market model for Israeli markets, with core focus on TASE indices and ILS FX. Each asset page combines current model result with visible validation metrics such as accuracy, MAE edge and average error.
Model product preview
Current model output plus recent validation proof for ILS FX and TASE-linked assets. Click any instrument to open the full asset page.
Why users trust the model
A financial model only earns attention if users can see what it covers, when it was refreshed and how its outputs should be read. TrendAviv presents the model as a practical decision-support layer for Israeli markets, not as a black-box slogan.
Model-driven output
Each covered instrument is presented through the site's proprietary model output, with timestamps for the data snapshot and the latest calculation run.
Built for Israeli markets
The framework was built around Israeli-market specifics rather than copied from a generic global template. That includes the way local benchmarks, ILS-linked dynamics and market regimes are interpreted.
Defined horizons and validation
Outputs are published for stated horizons and monitored in ongoing forward testing. The goal is not theatrical certainty but disciplined validation as the live track record grows.
Free beta access
The current public version is available free as a beta test of the model experience and reporting layer. Access, scope or pricing may change as the project matures.
Data sources and attribution
For Israeli markets we prefer primary sources. Where public market-data providers are used for convenience, we show the source per quote and keep the focus on consistency and timestamps.
TASE Data Hub
Core exchange datasets for Israeli indices and market structure. Used as the primary reference for TASE instruments.
Bank of Israel
FX reference rates, macro series and official publications that matter for ILS FX and the broader Israeli macro backdrop.
GDELT Project
Structured global news signals. Used as sentiment and event-proxy features, not as “prediction of events”.
Public market-data providers
May be used for broad global instruments (e.g., commodities). Availability and timestamps can vary.
What the model covers
TrendAviv is first and foremost a model product. The website exists to publish the outputs of a proprietary financial model created for Israeli markets, while also tracking the outside variables that materially affect them. The focus is on measurable forecasts, modeled levels and risk context.
TASE indices and equities
Coverage starts with the major benchmarks (TA-35, TA-125) and extends to sector lenses. Models look at returns, volatility regime shifts, cross-asset links and sentiment proxies to produce daily drift, quant levels and volatility.
ILS FX (USD/ILS, EUR/ILS)
USD/ILS is sensitive to liquidity, macro differentials and policy headlines. We combine market behavior features and macro context to publish drift, S1/R1 levels and volatility estimates for disciplined execution.
Macro-linked commodities
Benchmarks like Brent and gold often shape risk narratives. We track them as context and correlation anchors, not as stand-alone “trade calls”.
About the model
TrendAviv is built around a proprietary quantitative model rather than a discretionary commentary feed. We intentionally keep some implementation details private, but the broad principle is simple: the model is designed for Israeli markets, combines multiple market and macro inputs, and is continuously checked through out-of-sample workflows.
Step one: estimate macro spreads and the volatility regime (a Geometric Brownian Motion baseline) to define a prior drift and uncertainty.
Step two: an ensemble (Random Forest + XGBoost) learns nonlinear interactions across features, then outputs drift, S1/R1 quant levels and a volatility estimate for a defined horizon. Forward testing helps keep the system honest across changing regimes.
How to read model snapshots
Each card is a compact model snapshot: current estimate, expected range and a short validation proof for the active horizon.
Current model estimate
The main number on the card is the current model estimate for the selected horizon, not just a live market quote.
Expected range
The range shows where the model expects the instrument to trade probabilistically over the active horizon.
Validation proof
Accuracy, MAE Edge and average MAE give a quick view of how the model has behaved on resolved historical runs.
Open the asset page
Every card links directly to the full asset page, where the user can inspect the active signal, range, validation and context in detail.
Model snapshots: signals and validation
Each card shows a live model output for an instrument: current estimate, expected range and compact validation metrics for the active horizon.
Bonds (Israel 10Y)
Tel Gov Shekel 0-2
Tel Gov Shekel 5-10
Tel Gov CPI Linked 2-5
Tel Bond-20 CPI Linked
GOLD (Gold Futures)
NICE Ltd (Tech Sector)
Elbit Systems
Nova
Tower Semiconductor
Teva
ICL
EUR / ILS
USD / ILS
GBP / ILS
Index TA-35
Index TA-125
Index of Banks (TA-Banks5)
TA-90
TA-Technology
VTA35
TA-SME60
TA-Finance
FAQ
Short, practical answers about the model, its outputs, validation and the current beta format.
What is TrendAviv really offering?
At its core, TrendAviv offers access to the outputs of a proprietary financial model built specifically for Israeli markets. The site presents forecast-oriented research and market context, not personalized investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security.
Why is the model presented as Israel-first?
Because the framework was created around the behavior of Israeli financial markets rather than around a generic global template. That includes TASE benchmarks, ILS-linked dynamics and the local macro environment that often shapes price behavior.
How do you reduce overfitting and look-ahead bias?
We use out-of-sample workflows and walk-forward logic to avoid peeking into the future. The focus is on stability across regimes, not perfect historical curves.
Do you use RSI, MACD and other technical indicators?
Sometimes, yes, but as features in a larger model rather than as rule-based trade triggers. We combine them with macro and regime features.
Is the service free?
At this stage, access is provided free as part of a public beta / early testing phase. That free access may change later as the model, reporting layer and coverage continue to develop.